Operational Forecast Systems
Operational Forecast System
The primary objective of the National Operational Coastal Modeling Program (NOCMP) is to develop and operate a national network of Operational Nowcast
and Forecast Hydrodynamic Model Systems (called OFS) to support NOAA's mission goals and priorities. An OFS consists of the automated integration of observing system
data streams, hydrodynamic model predictions, product dissemination and continuous quality-control monitoring. State-of-the-art numerical hydrodynamic models driven by real-time
data and meteorological, oceanographic, and/or river flow rate forecasts will form the core of these end-to-end systems. The OFS will perform nowcast and short-term (0 hr. - 48 hr.)
forecast predictions of pertinent parameters (e.g., water levels, currents, salinity, temperature, waves) and disseminate them to users.
Nowcasts and forecasts are scientific predictions about the present and future states of water levels (and possibly currents and other relevant oceanographic variables,
such as salinity and temperature) in a coastal area. These predictions rely on either observed data or forecasts from a numerical model. A nowcast incorporates recent (and often near
real-time) observed meteorological, oceanographic, and/or river flow rate data. A nowcast covers the period of time from the recent past (e.g., the past few days) to the present, and it can
make predictions for locations where observational data are not available. A forecast incorporates meteorological, oceanographic, and/or river flow rate forecasts and makes predictions for
times where observational data will not be available. A forecast is usually initiated by the results of a nowcast.
OFS are being implemented in critical ports, harbors, estuaries, Great Lakes and coastal waters of the United States, and will join the National Ocean Service's operational
oceanographic capabilities to form a national backbone of real-time data, tidal predictions, data management and operational modeling.
The National Ocean Service's Operational Data Acquisition and Archiving System (ODAAS) acquires, subsets and archives real-time observations and the National Weather
Service's (NWS) forecast model guidance in support the suite of real-time nowcast/forecast systems listed below.
NOAA's National Ocean Service (NOS) has upgraded its Chesapeake Bay Operational Forecast System (CBOFS). The new higher resolution CBOFS is now based on a three-dimensional ROMS model
that runs on NOAA's High Performance Computers (HPC). In addition to providing water level nowcast and forecast guidance, the new CBOFS now also provides currents, water temperature
and salinity as well as interpolated winds from National Weather Service products. CBOFS runs four times per day and generates 6-hour nowcasts and 48-hour forecast guidance. CBOFS products
include time series graphics at station locations and aerial animations of the whole Chesapeake Bay for all five parameters (wind, water level, currents, temperature and salinity).
NOAA's National Ocean Service (NOS) has developed a Columbia River Estuary Operational Forecast System (CREOFS). CREOFS is based on a three-dimensional SELFE model that runs on NOAA's High Performance Computers (HPC).
CREOFS provides water level, currents, water temperature and salinity nowcast and forecast guidance as well as interpolated winds from National Weather Service products for five separate subdomains: Upper Columbia River subdomain,
Middle Columbia River subdomain, Lower Columbia River subdomain, Columbia River Bar Entrance subdomain, and the mouth and offshore subdomain of the Columbia River. CREOFS runs four times per day and generates 6-hour nowcasts and
48-hour forecast guidance. CREOFS products include time series graphics at station locations and aerial animations of the Columbia River Estuary for all five parameters (wind, water level, currents, temperature and salinity).
NOAA's National Ocean Service (NOS) has developed a Delaware Bay Operational Forecast System (DBOFS). DBOFS is based on a three-dimensional ROMS
model that runs on NOAA's High Performance Computers (HPC). DBOFS provides water level, currents, water temperature and salinity nowcast and
forecast guidance as well as interpolated winds from National Weather Service products. DBOFS runs four times per day and generates 6-hour
nowcasts and 48-hour forecast guidance. DBOFS products include time series graphics at station locations and aerial animations of the whole Delaware Bay
for all five parameters (wind, water level, currents, temperature and salinity).
NOS created the Galveston Bay Operational Forecast System (GBOFS) to provide the maritime community with improved short-term
predictions of water levels and currents in Galveston Bay. Be advised that these predictions are based on a hydrodynamic model and, as such, should
be considered as computer-generated forecast guidance.
NOS created the Lake Erie Operational Forecast System (LEOFS) to provide the maritime community with improved short-term predictions of water levels and
currents in the Lake Erie. Be advised that these predictions are based on a hydrodynamic model and, as such, should be considered as computer-generated forecast guidance.
More information about the Great Lakes OFS, go to the GLOFS web page.
NOS created the Lake Huron Operational Forecast System (LHOFS) to provide the maritime community with improved short-term predictions of water levels and currents
in the Lake Huron. Be advised that these predictions are based on a hydrodynamic model and, as such, should be considered as computer-generated forecast guidance. More information
about the Great Lakes OFS, go to the GLOFS web page.
NOS created the Lake Michigan Operational Forecast System (LMOFS) to provide the maritime community with improved short-term predictions of water levels and currents
in the Lake Michigan. Be advised that these predictions are based on a hydrodynamic model and, as such, should be considered as computer-generated forecast guidance. More information
about the Great Lakes OFS, go to the GLOFS web page.
NOS created the Lake Ontario Operational Forecast System (LOOFS) to provide the maritime community with improved short-term predictions of water levels and currents
in the Lake Ontario. Be advised that these predictions are based on a hydrodynamic model and, as such, should be considered as computer-generated forecast guidance. More information
about the Great Lakes OFS, go to the GLOFS web page.
NOS created the Lake Superior Operational Forecast System (LSOFS) to provide the maritime community with improved short-term predictions of water levels and currents
in the Lake Superior. Be advised that these predictions are based on a hydrodynamic model and, as such, should be considered as computer-generated forecast guidance. More information
about the Great Lakes OFS, go to the GLOFS web page.
NOAA's National Ocean Service (NOS) has developed a Northern Gulf of Mexico Operational Forecast System (NGOFS). NGOFS is based on a
three-dimensional FVCOM model that runs on NOAA's High Performance Computers (HPC). NGOFS provides water level, currents, water temperature
and salinity nowcast and forecast guidance as well as interpolated winds from National Weather Service products. NGOFS runs four times per day and
generates 6-hour nowcasts and 48-hour forecast guidance NGOFS products include time series graphics at station locations and aerial animations of the
whole northern Gulf of Mexico for all five parameters (wind, water level, currents, temperature and salinity). Click here for more information about
NGOFS, Gulfport - NGOFS,
Mobile Bay - NGOFS and
Pascagoula - NGOFS.
NOS created the Port of New York and New Jersey Operational Forecast System (NYOFS) to provide the maritime community with improved short-term predictions of water levels
and currents in the Port of New York and New Jersey. Be advised that these predictions are based on a hydrodynamic model and, as such, should be considered as computer-generated forecast
guidance.
NOS created the St. John's River Operational Forecast System (SJROFS) to provide the maritime community with improved short-term predictions of water levels and currents
in St. John's River. Be advised that these predictions are based on a hydrodynamic model and, as such, should be considered as computer-generated forecast guidance.
NOAA's National Ocean Service (NOS) has developed a Tampa Bay Operational Forecast System (TBOFS). TBOFS is based on a three-dimensional ROMS model that runs on NOAA's High Performance
Computers (HPC). TBOFS provides water level, currents, water temperature and salinity nowcast and forecast guidance as well as interpolated winds from National Weather Service products.
TBOFS runs four times per day and generates 6-hour nowcasts and 48-hour forecast guidance. TBOFS products include time series graphics at station locations and aerial animations of the whole
Tampa Bay for all five parameters (wind, water level, currents, temperature and salinity).
|